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| Asian Spine J > Volume 19(4); 2025 > Article |
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Long-term follow-up (>25 years) of conservatively treated adolescent idiopathic scoliosis with moderate curves (30°–45°) showed significant curve progression (average 14.32°).
The incidence of significant curve progression (≥5°) was 35.68% across all follow-up periods, increasing to 46.70% at >25 years follow-up.
Surgical intervention was required in 14.20% of conservatively managed patients during follow-up.
Back pain was reported by 63.35% of patients at final follow-up, despite minimal disability measured by standardized scales.
Sagittal alignment parameters (thoracic kyphosis and lumbar lordosis) remained within normal ranges at final follow-up, with no significant changes from baseline.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization: EH, JB, IS, VG, MTSM, IK, GM, CB. Methodology: EH, JB, IS, VG. Data curation: EH, JB, IS, VG. Formal analysis: EH, JB, IS, VG. Visualization: EH, JB, IS, VG. Project administration: EH, JB, IS, VG. Writing–original draft preparation: EH, JB, IS, VG. Writing–review and editing: EH, JB, IS, VG. Supervision: EH, JB, IS, VG. Final approval of the manuscript: all authors.
| Study | Clearly stated aim | Conseutive patients | Prospective collection data | End-points | Assessment endpoint | Follow-up period | Loss less than 5% | Study size | Adequate control group | Contemporary group | Baseline control | Statistical analyses | MINORS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascani et al. [22] (1986) | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Aulisa et al. [4] (2021) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 |
| Cochran et al. [6] (1983) | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Danielsson et al. [7] (2001) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Danielsson et al. [9] (2010) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Fang et al. [23] (2015) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 11 |
| Farshad et al. [24] (2022) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Haefeli et al. [25] (2006) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Misterska et al. [21] (2017) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 |
| Montgomery et al. [26] (1990) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | 14 |
| Simony et al. [20] (2015) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| Steen et al. [27] (2021) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Weigert et al. [28] (2006) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 |
| Study | Region | Type of study | FU (yr) | Treatment | Skeletal maturity | No. of patients | Female (%) | Age at final FU (yr) | Curve initially (º) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascani et al. [22] (1986) | Italy | Retrospective cohort | 36.0 | Untreated | NS | 187 | 151 (80.8) | 43.0 | 30.0–39.0 |
| Aulisa et al. [4] (2021) | Italy | Retrospective cohort | 13.4 | Progressive action short brace | Risser 0–4 | 163 | 163 (100.0) | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Cochran et al. [6] (1983) | Sweden | Retrospective cohort | 12.0 | Milwaukee brace | NS | 85 | 81 (95.1) | 24.0 | 30.0 |
| Danielsson et al. [7] (2001) | Sweden | Retrospective cohort | 22.2 | Milwaukee brace or Boston brace | NS | 109 | 105 (96.3) | 39.3 | 33.2 |
| Danielsson et al. [9] (2010) | Sweden | Retrospective cohort | 16.0 | Boston brace | Skeletal age of 10 to 15 yr | 37 | 37 (100.0) | 32.4 | 30.5 |
| Fang et al. [23] (2015) | China | Retrospective series | 24.4 | Chêneau-type thoracolumbosacral orthosis | Risser stage 0–2 | 32 | 29 (91.0) | NS | 30.6 |
| Farshad et al. [24] (2022) | Switzerland | Retrospective cohort | 42.0 | Nonoperative | NS | 20 | 16 (80.0) | 56.5 | 31.7 |
| Haefeli et al. [25] (2006) | Germany | Retrospective cohort | 23.0 | Nonoperative (brace or physiotherapy) | NS | 121 | 102 (85.0) | 37.8 | 30.0 |
| Misterska et al. [21] (2017) | Poland | Retrospective cohort | 27.8 | Milwaukee brace | NS | 30 | 30 (100.0) | 41.1 | 32.2 |
| Montgomery et al. [26] (1990) | Sweden | Retrospective series | ≥10.0 | Brace | NS | 233 | NS | NS | 33.2 |
| Simony et al. [20] (2015) | Denmark | Retrospective cohort | 24.5 | Boston brace | NS | 66 | 62 (94.0) | 41.4 | 37.5 |
| Steen et al. [27] (2021) | Norway | Retrospective cohort | 23.3 | Boston brace | Risser sign <3 | 365 | 339 (92.9) | 23.3 | 33.6 |
| Weigert et al. [28] (2006) | Denmark | Retrospective cohort | 19.1 | Boston brace | NS | 44 | NS | NS | 33.6 |
| Study | GFS | ODI | EQ-5D | SRS-22 pain | SRS-22 PF | SRS-22 MH | SRS-22 SI | SRS-22 satisfaction | SF-36 PCS | SF-36 MCS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steen et al. [27] (2021) (1)b) | 6.5 (11.4) | 7.7 (11.8) | 0.83 (0.20) | 4.1 (0.8) | 4.1 (0.6) | 4.2 (0.6) | 3.8 (0.7) | 3.8 (1.0) | - | - |
| Steen et al. [27] (2021) (2)b) | 8.5 (12.3) | 11.8 (13.1) | 0.75 (0.24) | 3.9 (0.9) | 4.0 (0.7) | 4.0 (0.7) | 3.5 (0.7) | 3.3 (1.0) | - | - |
| Danielsson et al. [7] (2001) | 9.2 (12.6) | 7.7 (9.0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 49.5 (47.7–51.3) | 50.2 (48.2–52.1) |
| Farshad et al. [24] (2022) | - | 7.0 (7.9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Haefeli et al. [25] (2006) | - | 11.4 (0.0–45.0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Simony et al. [20] (2015) | - | - | 0.82 (0.15) | 3.73 (0.95) | 4.21 (0.82) | 3.99 (0.74) | 3.60 (0.94) | 3.46 (0.91) | 47.9 (10.3) | 50.38 (11.32) |
| Weigert et al. [28] (2006) | - | - | 3.94 (0.77) | 2.82 (0.95) | 2.99 (0.76) | 3.32 (0.74) | - | - |
GFS, General Function Score; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; EQ-5D, EuroQol-5D; SRS-22, Scoliosis Research Society-22; PF, Physical Function; MH, Mental Health; SI, Self-Image; SF-36, Short Form-36; PCS, physical component summary; MCS, mental component summary; (1), compliers; (2), non-compliers; -, not specified.

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