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Suwanaratana, Lawanprasert, and Chanalithichai: Trabecular bone score beyond bone mineral density for identifying osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures: a matched case-control study

Abstract

Study Design

Retrospective sex- and age-matched case-control study.

Purpose

To assess bone mineral density (BMD)–trabecular bone score (TBS) discordance and high-burden abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) in patients with radiographically confirmed osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF).

Overview of Literature

Conventional BMD thresholds may fail to identify all patients with vertebral skeletal fragility, as vertebral fractures can occur despite nonosteoporotic BMD. TBS complements BMD by evaluating trabecular microarchitecture, while AAC may serve as a marker of systemic bone–vascular health associated with skeletal fragility.

Methods

This retrospective sex- and age-matched case-control study enrolled patients aged ≥50 years who underwent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) with TBS assessment and vertebral imaging. OVCF was defined as a Genant grade 2 or 3 vertebral fracture. The primary cohort included 47 OVCF patients and 188 matched controls. BMD T-scores at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, total hip, TBS, and AAC-24 were evaluated. Matched conditional logistic regression was used to determine associations with OVCF.

Results

More than half of OVCF patients did not demonstrate osteoporotic BMD at any measured DXA site (53.2%). Among those with nonosteoporotic BMD, low TBS was more common in cases than in controls (48.0% vs. 22.7%). Low TBS remained independently associated with OVCF after adjusting for the lowest BMD T-score and high-burden AAC (odds ratio, 2.66; 95% confidence interval, 1.25–5.63; p=0.011). High-burden AAC was more frequent among cases, although its association was attenuated after adjustment.

Conclusions

Low TBS may aid in identifying vertebral skeletal fragility in OVCF patients with nonosteoporotic BMD on conventional DXA. High-burden AAC may provide vascular information, although its incremental association beyond BMD and TBS was attenuated.

Key Points
  • Over half the patients with radiographically confirmed osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) did not meet the osteoporotic bone mineral density (BMD) threshold at any measured dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) site.

  • Low trabecular bone score (TBS) remained independently associated with OVCF after adjusting for lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip BMD.

  • Among participants with nonosteoporotic BMD at all measured DXA sites, low TBS was more frequent in OVCF patients than in matched controls.

  • High-burden abdominal aortic calcification was more prevalent among OVCF cases but showed an attenuated association after adjustment for BMD and TBS.

  • TBS may complement conventional DXA-derived BMD in identifying vertebral skeletal fragility in older adults with spinal disorders.

Graphical Abstract

Introduction

Osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) is a common and clinically important manifestation of osteoporosis in older adults and is associated with pain, disability, progressive spinal deformity, impaired mobility, and reduced quality of life [1,2]. In spine practice, OVCF represents a fracture event and a marker of vertebral skeletal fragility that influences sagittal alignment, functional status, treatment decisions, and future fracture risks, even when vertebral fractures are clinically silent or asymptomatic [3,4].
Bone mineral density (BMD) measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is the current reference standard for osteoporosis diagnosis based on the World Health Organization T-score threshold of ≤−2.5 [5]. However, BMD explains only 60%–70% of bone strength, as vertebral strength also depends on bone quality, including trabecular microarchitecture, geometry, and tissue material properties [6]. This limitation is particularly relevant in vertebral compression fractures because many fragility fractures occur despite nonosteoporotic BMD, and prevalent vertebral fractures are frequently observed among patients with clinical risk factors and nonosteoporotic lumbar BMD [7].
Lumbar spine DXA interpretation in older adults is further complicated by degenerative changes, osteophytes, vertebral deformity, and overlying abdominal aortic calcification (AAC), which may artifactually elevate lumbar BMD and mask spinal fragility [8,9]. This diagnostic gap is clinically important because patients with radiographic OVCF may be classified as nonosteoporotic using conventional BMD thresholds, potentially delaying the recognition of bone fragility and appropriate osteoporosis care.
Trabecular bone score (TBS), a texture-based index derived from lumbar spine DXA images, provides complementary information on trabecular microarchitectural integrity not captured by BMD [6]. Low TBS indicates degraded bone microarchitecture and predicts osteoporotic fracture risk independently of BMD [10]. TBS has also been integrated into fracture-risk assessment models, including the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX), to enhance future risk stratification beyond BMD alone [11]. In patients with nonosteoporotic BMD, TBS may help detect prevalent vertebral fractures and occult vertebral fragility that may be missed by BMD-based assessment [7,9].
AAC is a radiographic marker of vascular calcification that may reflect the systemic bone–vascular interplay underlying skeletal fragility [12,13]. AAC can be readily identified on lateral lumbar radiographs using validated semiquantitative scoring methods [12]. A greater AAC burden has been linked to lower BMD and elevated vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk and lower TBS independent of BMD [14,15]. However, whether AAC burden provides additional clinical insight into BMD–TBS discordance and radiographically confirmed OVCF remains uncertain.
Although BMD, TBS, and AAC have each been investigated in relation to fracture risk, few studies have evaluated these measures together within a matched framework focused on radiographically confirmed OVCF. The present study addresses this gap by concurrently assessing the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip BMD, TBS, and high-burden AAC in an Asian spine-practice cohort. This approach enabled us to evaluate whether TBS and high-burden AAC provide additional clinical context beyond conventional DXA-derived BMD assessment.
This study aimed to examine the relationship between TBS and OVCF after accounting for BMD at conventional DXA sites, including the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip. Secondary objectives were to investigate BMD–TBS discordance, defined as nonosteoporotic BMD at all measured DXA sites with low TBS, and to evaluate whether high-burden AAC was associated with OVCF after adjusting for BMD and TBS.

Materials and Methods

Study design and participants

This retrospective matched case-control study was performed at Chulabhorn Hospital, Thailand, in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Human Research Ethics Committee, Chulabhorn Research Institute (IRB No. 055/2569). Informed consent was waived because only existing de-identified clinical and imaging data obtained during routine care were analyzed.
The study population consisted of patients aged ≥50 years who underwent DXA with lumbar spine and hip BMD measurements, with TBS derived from the same lumbar spine DXA scan, and were evaluated with available vertebral imaging between January 2025 and March 2026. Vertebral imaging included vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) or lateral lumbar spine radiography. The study was conducted and reported in accordance with the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines.

Case and control definitions

Cases were defined as patients with prevalent radiographic OVCF, defined as a Genant grade 2 or 3 vertebral compression fracture on VFA or lateral spine radiography in individuals aged ≥50 years, after excluding those with documented bone malignancy. OVCF was considered a radiographic marker of vertebral fragility rather than a BMD-based diagnosis. Grade 1 vertebral deformities were not used to define the case status.
Controls were selected from patients without radiographic vertebral fracture on VFA or lateral spine radiography and were matched to cases by sex and age (within ±5 years). All patients were required to have undergone complete lumbar spine BMD, TBS, and vertebral imaging needed for AAC assessment. Femoral neck and total hip BMD were additionally required for primary cohort analyses integrating hip BMD.
Participants with nonevaluable vertebral imaging, missing TBS, spinal instrumentation, or major artifacts interfering with BMD, TBS, or AAC assessment, documented metastatic or bone malignancy, or end-stage renal disease requiring hemodialysis, were excluded. Documented active osteoporosis treatment prior to the index DXA scan was reviewed when available; however, since treatment status could not be consistently verified, it was not employed as a strict exclusion criterion.

Matching procedure and analytic cohorts

Eligible controls were identified from the DXA and vertebral imaging database. For the primary analytic cohort, only OVCF cases with at least four eligible sex- and age-matched controls were included. When more than four controls were available, the four with the smallest absolute age difference were selected. The primary cohort included 47 OVCF cases and 188 controls using a strict 1:4 matching ratio.
A sensitivity cohort was subsequently assembled using all eligible OVCF cases and matched controls, yielding 51 OVCF cases and 223 controls. Because femoral neck and total hip BMD were available only for the primary cohort, analyses incorporating hip BMD, including the lowest all-site BMD T-score and any-site osteoporosis, were limited to the primary cohort.

DXA-derived BMD and TBS assessment

All DXA examinations were performed using a GE Lunar iDXA densitometer (GE Healthcare, Madison, WI, USA). Lumbar spine BMD was obtained from the posteroanterior L1–L4 DXA. Following the International Society for Clinical Densitometry recommendations, vertebrae with compression fractures, implants, major artifacts, local structural abnormalities, or a T-score difference >1.0 from adjacent vertebrae were excluded from analysis. BMD classification was not based on any single vertebra.
Femoral neck and total hip BMD were measured using the same index DXA. The lowest all-site BMD T-score was defined as the lowest among the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip. TBS was derived from the index lumbar DXA acquisition and calculated from the same evaluable vertebral levels used for lumbar spine BMD analysis.

Vertebral fracture and AAC assessment

Vertebral fracture status was determined using VFA images or lateral lumbar spine radiographs. When both imaging modalities were available, lateral radiographs were preferentially used for vertebral fracture confirmation and AAC assessment. Vertebral fractures were graded independently by two orthopedic reviewers using the semiquantitative Genant method. Briefly, grade 1 represents a mild deformity (<25% vertebral height loss), grade 2 a moderate fracture (25%–40% height loss), and grade 3 a severe fracture (>40% height loss) [16]. Only grade 2 or 3 deformities were classified as OVCF, and disagreements were resolved by consensus. For exploratory fracture severity analyses, OVCF cases were further characterized according to the maximum Genant grade, number of fractured vertebral levels, presence of multiple vertebral fractures, and a Genant-based fracture-burden score. The Genant-based fracture-burden score was calculated as the sum of Genant grades across all fractured vertebral levels; for example, a single grade 3 fracture yielded a score of 3, whereas graded 2 and 3 fractures at two vertebral levels yielded a score of 5. Inter-rater reliability for Genant grading and the Genant-based fracture-burden score was evaluated using weighted kappa and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), respectively.
AAC was assessed on lateral vertebral imaging using the Kauppila 24-point semiquantitative scoring system [12]. Scores were assigned independently by two orthopedic reviewers blinded to BMD and TBS values; however, complete blinding to vertebral fracture status was not always possible because fracture grading and AAC scoring were performed on the same lateral images. The final AAC-24 score was defined as the mean of the two reviewers’ scores when the absolute difference was ≤3 points, whereas larger differences were resolved by consensus. Inter-rater reliability for AAC-24 was evaluated using the ICC for absolute agreement. AAC-24 was analyzed as a continuous and a categorical variable. High-burden AAC was prespecified as an AAC-24 score ≥9, representing extensive calcification burden in prior AAC-24 studies [17,18], and was not intended to represent a universal clinical treatment threshold.

Phenotype definitions

Low TBS was defined as TBS ≤1.230, corresponding to the commonly used degraded trabecular microarchitecture in TBS classification studies [1921]. As population-specific TBS thresholds and fracture-based validation for Thai patients and broader Asian spine-practice cohorts remain limited, this threshold was applied uniformly to all participants. Any-site osteoporosis was defined as a T-score ≤−2.5 at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, or total hip. Nonosteoporotic BMD was defined as T-scores >−2.5 at all measured DXA sites. BMD–TBS discordance was defined as nonosteoporotic BMD at all measured DXA sites in the presence of low TBS. An exploratory combined phenotype was defined by the coexistence of nonosteoporotic BMD, low TBS, and high-burden AAC. This phenotype was evaluated descriptively and considered hypothesis-generating because it represented a secondary exploratory subgroup rather than a predefined primary exposure. Exploratory fracture-burden variables were defined as described above.

Statistical analysis

Baseline characteristics are presented as mean±standard deviation or number with percentage. Formal between-group comparisons were not emphasized because inferential analyses accounted for the matched study design.
Matched conditional logistic regression was employed to evaluate associations with OVCF in the primary 1:4 matched cohort, with models stratified by matched case-control sets. Continuous BMD and TBS variables were standardized and expressed per 1 standard deviation increase. Regression models examined lumbar spine BMD and TBS; the lowest all-site BMD T-score and TBS; and clinical-threshold variables, including low TBS, high-burden AAC, and BMD represented either as the continuous lowest all-site BMD T-score or as the conventional any-site osteoporosis threshold. The clinical-threshold model incorporating the continuous lowest all-site BMD T-score was prioritized as the principal model because it retained densitometric information across conventional DXA sites, whereas the model using any-site osteoporosis served as a threshold-based clinical comparator. Odds ratios (ORs)and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported.
The sample size was determined by the number of eligible patients with radiographically confirmed OVCF and complete DXA, TBS, AAC, and hip BMD data during the study period; no formal a priori sample size calculation was performed. To evaluate statistical precision, a post hoc Wald-based precision assessment was conducted using the 95% CI of the low-TBS estimate from the principal clinical-threshold model.
Subgroup analyses described the prevalence of low TBS, high-burden AAC, and the combined phenotype among participants with nonosteoporotic BMD at all measured DXA sites. The combined exploratory phenotype was analyzed descriptively. Sensitivity analyses repeated the primary lumbar spine BMD-based regression models in the all-valid matched cohort. Exploratory case-only analyses examined associations between imaging markers and Genant-based fracture burden using the Mann-Whitney U test, Fisher’s exact test, and Spearman rank correlation, as appropriate. A two-sided p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Analyses were performed using R ver. 4.3.3 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) and the survival package (ver. 3.5.8).

Results

Study population and radiographic characteristics

After radiographic review and application of eligibility criteria, the primary matched cohort comprised 47 patients with radiographically confirmed OVCF and 188 sex- and age-matched controls, yielding a strict 1:4 matched dataset. The all-valid sensitivity cohort included 51 OVCF cases and 223 matched controls. The study selection and matching process are summarized in Fig. 1.
Among the 47 OVCF cases, 27 patients (57.4%) had a maximum Genant grade of 3, whereas 20 (42.6%) had grade 2 fractures. Multiple vertebral fractures were identified in eight patients (17.0%), and the median Genant-based fracture-burden score was 3. Inter-rater reliability was high for maximum Genant grade (weighted κ=0.885), the Genant-based fracture-burden score (ICC=0.745), and AAC-24 scoring (ICC=0.780).

Baseline characteristics and BMD–TBS discordance

Baseline characteristics are presented in Table 1. Age and sex were well balanced between cases and controls. Compared with controls, OVCF patients exhibited lower BMD T-scores at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip, lower TBS (1.20±0.10 vs. 1.27±0.11), and numerically higher AAC-24 scores (7.43±4.97 vs. 6.18±4.44). Low TBS (63.8% vs. 29.8%) and high-burden AAC (48.9% vs. 27.7%) were also more frequent among cases than controls.
BMD classification across DXA sites is illustrated in Table 2. Based on lumbar spine BMD alone, 14 cases (29.8%) and 26 controls (13.8%) met the osteoporotic threshold. When lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip BMD were considered together, any-site osteoporosis was identified in 22 cases (46.8%) and 47 controls (25.0%). Conversely, 25 cases (53.2%) and 141 controls (75.0%) demonstrated nonosteoporotic BMD at all measured DXA sites. Among these participants, low TBS was present in 12 of 25 cases (48.0%) and 32 of 141 controls (22.7%).

Associations of BMD, TBS, and AAC with OVCF

The matched conditional logistic regression results are presented in Table 3. In the model including lumbar spine BMD and TBS, higher lumbar spine BMD and higher TBS were associated with lower odds of OVCF. When BMD was represented by the lowest all-site BMD T-score, TBS remained significantly associated with OVCF.
In the clinical-threshold model incorporating the lowest all-site BMD T-score, low TBS, and high-burden AAC, low TBS remained independently associated with increased odds of OVCF (OR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.25–5.63; p=0.011), whereas high-burden AAC demonstrated an attenuated, nonsignificant association (OR, 1.92; 95% CI, 0.88–4.18; p=0.102). When BMD was modeled categorically as any-site osteoporosis instead of the continuous lowest all-site BMD T-score, low TBS remained associated with OVCF, with a similar direction of effect and a larger point estimate (OR, 3.17; 95% CI, 1.52–6.60; p=0.002). High-burden AAC remained borderline and nonsignificant (OR, 2.04; 95% CI, 0.95–4.41; p=0.069).

Nonosteoporotic BMD subgroup and sensitivity analyses

Among participants with nonosteoporotic BMD at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip, low TBS was more frequent in OVCF cases than in controls (48.0% vs. 22.7%) (Fig. 2). High-burden AAC was present in 36.0% of cases and 24.8% of controls. The combined exploratory phenotype of all-site nonosteoporotic BMD, low TBS, and high-burden AAC was identified in five of 25 cases (20%) and 14 of 141 controls (9.9%) and was interpreted descriptively because of the small number of affected OVCF cases.
Sensitivity analyses in the all-valid matched cohort demonstrated comparable directions of association to the primary analysis (Supplement 1). Low TBS and high-burden AAC remained associated with OVCF in the main sensitivity models. In exploratory case-only analyses, the Genant-based fracture-burden score was not significantly associated with BMD, TBS, AAC-24 score, low TBS, high-burden AAC, or BMD–TBS discordance (Supplements 2, 3).

Discussion

This matched case-control study provides clinically oriented relevant evidence on BMD–TBS discordance in radiographically confirmed OVCF within an Asian spine-practice cohort. Building on prior evidence linking TBS and AAC to fracture risk, we evaluated lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip BMD, TBS, and high-burden AAC within a single matched framework focused on Genant-confirmed OVCF. Three findings are most relevant. First, low TBS remained independently associated with OVCF after accounting for the lowest all-site BMD T-score. Second, more than half of OVCF cases did not meet the osteoporotic threshold at any measured DXA site, and low TBS was approximately twice as common among these patients as in matched controls. Third, although high-burden AAC was more prevalent among OVCF cases, its association was attenuated after accounting for all-site BMD and low TBS, supporting its interpretation as a contextual vascular marker rather than a standalone skeletal fragility predictor. These findings are relevant to spine practice because radiographic OVCF may reflect vertebral fragility despite nonosteoporotic BMD at conventional DXA sites.
A major challenge in vertebral fracture evaluation is that BMD alone does not fully reflect skeletal fragility. Although a T-score ≤−2.5 remains the diagnostic threshold for osteoporosis, many fragility fractures occur in individuals whose BMD is in the osteopenic or even normal BMD range [5,2224]. This limitation is particularly relevant in the spine, where degenerative changes, vertebral deformity, and vascular calcification may artifactually elevate areal BMD and obscure underlying vertebral fragility [6,9]. The present study extends these observations by demonstrating that this diagnostic gap was not confined to lumbar spine BMD alone: 53.2% of OVCF cases did not meet the osteoporotic threshold even after incorporating femoral neck and total hip BMD. This finding supports the clinical concern that conventional DXA thresholds may fail to identify vertebral fragility in a substantial proportion of patients with radiographically confirmed OVCF.
Hip BMD plays an important role in osteoporosis diagnosis and fracture-risk assessment; however, because femoral neck and total hip BMD are measured at nonvertebral skeletal sites, they may not fully reflect local spinal fragility. TBS, derived from the lumbar DXA texture, offers complementary information by indirectly assessing the trabecular microarchitecture [6,25,26]. Prior cohort studies and meta-analyses have demonstrated that lower TBS predicts vertebral and major osteoporotic fractures independently of BMD and clinical risk factors [11,20,27]. Among patients with nonosteoporotic BMD, TBS has also been shown to improve the detection of prevalent vertebral fractures beyond BMD alone [7]. The present findings extend these observations to an all-site BMD framework: low TBS remained significantly associated with OVCF after adjusting for the lowest all-site BMD T-score, and this association persisted even when BMD was represented categorically as any-site osteoporosis. These results support TBS as a clinically useful adjunct for identifying vertebral fragility that may not be detected using conventional BMD thresholds [20,21]. Methodologically, TBS and lumbar BMD were derived from the same evaluable vertebral levels, minimizing regional mismatch. The association of low TBS in the model using the conventional any-site osteoporosis threshold further supports its clinical relevance when BMD is interpreted categorically. However, the model incorporating the continuous lowest all-site BMD T-score was emphasized because it preserves more densitometric information across conventional DXA sites.
The AAC findings should be interpreted cautiously because the observed associations varied across statistical models. In the primary cohort, high-burden AAC was more common among OVCF cases, but its association with OVCF was attenuated after adjustment for the lowest all-site BMD T-score and low TBS. In contrast, high-burden AAC remained associated with OVCF in the lumbar spine BMD-based sensitivity models. This discrepancy may be explained by several non-mutually exclusive factors. First, the AAC–BMD relationship may be site-dependent. Because AAC is anatomically adjacent to the lumbar spine, it may influence lumbar DXA interpretation [9,14], whereas femoral neck and total hip BMD provide non-spinal skeletal information that is less affected by local aortic calcification. Second, lumbar spine-only models may not fully account for skeletal fragility because lumbar BMD can be artifactually increased by degenerative change, vertebral deformity, or vascular calcification [6,9]. Incorporating hip BMD may therefore minimize residual confounding and attenuate the apparent AAC association. Third, the relatively smaller number of OVCF cases may have contributed to sampling variability and limited precision across model specifications. Taken together, these findings suggest that high-burden AAC should not be interpreted as a direct measure of bone quality or as a standalone skeletal predictor in this cohort.
This interpretation is consistent with the bone–vascular axis concept, which proposes that vascular calcification and skeletal deterioration may share overlapping biological pathways [13]. Previous observational evidence has linked greater AAC burden to lower BMD and increased vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk [14], while aortic vascular calcification has been inversely associated with TBS in patients undergoing dialysis [15]. In the present hospital-based cohort of non-dialysis patients, AAC was best interpreted as complementary vascular information that may coexist with skeletal fragility and degraded trabecular microarchitecture, rather than as a universal threshold for severe AAC or clinical intervention.
Methodologically, OVCF was conservatively defined using Genant grade 2 or 3 fractures rather than by diagnostic codes or mild grade 1 deformities, which have lower reproducibility [16,28,29]. In exploratory case-only analyses, the Genant-based fracture-burden score was not significantly associated with BMD, TBS, AAC-24 score, low TBS, high-burden AAC, or BMD–TBS discordance. Because these analyses were restricted to patients with confirmed OVCF and were not powered to evaluate fracture-burden gradients, they should be interpreted descriptively. Prior evidence also indicates that TBS and VFA may capture complementary skeletal risk dimensions [30].
This study has several strengths, including sex- and age-matched design, radiographic confirmation of OVCF, inclusion of a hospital-based Asian cohort, good-to-excellent inter-rater reliability, and alignment of TBS analysis with the same evaluable vertebral levels used for lumbar BMD. Nevertheless, several limitations should be acknowledged. First, the sample size was determined by the number of eligible OVCF cases with complete imaging and DXA-derived data during the study period, and no formal a priori sample size calculation was performed. A post hoc Wald-based precision assessment indicated that the study was primarily powered to detect relatively large associations, corresponding to an OR of approximately 2.9 or greater for a binary exposure with precision comparable to that of low TBS. Consequently, smaller independent associations may have been missed, particularly for high-burden AAC, interaction testing, and the combined exploratory phenotype. Second, the retrospective case-control design and the timing of DXA, TBS, and AAC assessments preclude causal or temporal inferences. Accordingly, low TBS observed in OVCF patients should not be interpreted as evidence that degraded trabecular microarchitecture necessarily preceded fracture occurrence. Third, osteoporosis treatment before DXA assessment was not excluded and may have influenced BMD and TBS differently. Prior antiresorptive or anabolic therapy may preserve or increase BMD despite persistent microarchitectural degradation, potentially increasing apparent BMD–TBS discordance. Conversely, effective treatment could mitigate fracture risk and attenuate associations with OVCF. Fourth, residual confounding by body mass index, comorbidities, medication exposure, fall risk, and other clinical fracture-risk factors cannot be excluded. Finally, the TBS cutoff of ≤1.230 was based on widely used international classification thresholds, but population-specific normative data and fracture-based validation for Thai patients and broader Asian spine-practice cohorts remain limited. In addition, the single-center, hospital-based design may limit the generalizability of the findings.
Clinically, these findings support the integrated assessment of BMD, TBS, and vertebral imaging when assessing vertebral fragility in older spine patients, particularly in those with radiographic OVCF despite nonosteoporotic BMD at conventional DXA sites.

Conclusions

Low TBS remained independently associated with radiographically confirmed OVCF after accounting for BMD across the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip in this Asian spine-practice cohort. More than half of OVCF cases did not meet the osteoporotic threshold at any measured DXA site, highlighting a clinically relevant diagnostic gap with conventional BMD-based assessment. These findings support the use of TBS as an adjunct to conventional DXA-derived BMD for detecting vertebral skeletal fragility that may otherwise be overlooked by BMD thresholds alone. High-burden AAC should be interpreted as contextual vascular information rather than as an independent marker of skeletal fragility or a treatment threshold.

Notes

Conflict of Interest

No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to acknowledge the use of Gemini (Google LLC, Mountain View, CA, USA) for English language editing and stylistic polishing during the preparation of this manuscript. The authors reviewed and edited the content as needed and took full responsibility for the final version of the work.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: RS, NC. Methodology: RS, AL, NC. Data curation: RS, AL. Formal analysis: RS, NC. Investigation: RS, AL. Project administration: NC. Validation: RS, AL, NC. Visualization: RS, NC. Supervision: NC. Writing–original draft: RS, NC. Writing–review and editing: RS, AL, NC. Final approval of the manuscript: RS, AL, NC.

Supplementary Materials

Supplementary materials can be available from https://doi.org/10.31616/asj.2026.0394.
Supplement 1. Sensitivity analysis in the all-valid matched cohort using lumbar spine BMD.
asj-2026-0394-Supplement-1,2.pdf
Supplement 2. Exploratory Genant-based fracture burden analyses among OVCF cases: categorical imaging markers and Genant-based fracture burden. Supplement 3. Exploratory Genant-based fracture burden analyses among OVCF cases: continuous imaging markers and Genant-based fracture burden score.
asj-2026-0394-Supplement-3.pdf

Fig. 1
Study flow diagram. Flow diagram showing eligibility review, exclusion criteria, radiographic classification of osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture, matching procedure, and construction of the primary and sensitivity cohorts. Femoral neck and total hip bone mineral density (BMD) were additionally collected for the primary matched cohort. DXA, dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry; TBS, trabecular bone score; VFA, vertebral fracture assessment; ESRD, end-stage renal disease; OVCF, osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture.
asj-2026-0394f1.jpg
Fig. 2
Imaging phenotypes among participants without osteoporotic bone mineral density (BMD) at any measured dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) site. Among participants whose lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip BMD T-scores were all >−2.5, low trabecular bone score (TBS) was more common in osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) cases than matched controls. High-burden abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) and the combined exploratory phenotype of low TBS with high-burden AAC are shown descriptively because of small subgroup counts.
asj-2026-0394f2.jpg
asj-2026-0394f3.jpg
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of the primary matched cohort
Characteristic OVCF cases (n=47) Matched controls (n=188)
Age (yr) 75.36±8.56 74.53±8.14
Female sex 42 (89.4) 168 (89.4)
Lumbar spine BMD T-score −1.82±1.34 −0.95±1.44
Femoral neck BMD T-score −2.00±0.84 −1.57±0.93
Total hip BMD T-score −1.68±1.00 −1.16±1.03
Lowest all-site BMD T-scorea) −2.46±0.91 −1.82±0.95
TBS 1.20±0.10 1.27±0.11
AAC-24 score 7.43±4.97 6.18±4.44
Low TBSb) 30 (63.8) 56 (29.8)
High-burden AACc) 23 (48.9) 52 (27.7)

Values are presented as mean±standard deviation or number (%).

OVCF, osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture; BMD, bone mineral density; TBS, trabecular bone score; AAC, abdominal aortic calcification.

a) Lowest all-site BMD T-score was defined as the lowest T-score among the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip.

b) Low TBS was defined as TBS ≤1.230.

c) High-burden AAC was defined as an AAC-24 score ≥9.

Table 2
BMD classification and TBS-based phenotypes in the primary matched cohort
Characteristic OVCF cases (n=47) Matched controls (n=188)
BMD osteoporosis status by site
 Lumbar spine osteoporosis, T-score ≤−2.5 14 (29.8) 26 (13.8)
 Femoral neck osteoporosis, T-score ≤−2.5 14 (29.8) 29 (15.4)
 Total hip osteoporosis, T-score ≤−2.5 10 (21.3) 22 (11.7)
 Hip osteoporosisa), femoral neck or total hip T-score ≤−2.5 15 (31.9) 35 (18.6)
 Any-site osteoporosisb), lumbar spine, femoral neck, or total hip T-score ≤−2.5 22 (46.8) 47 (25.0)
 Non-osteoporotic BMD at all measured sitesc) 25 (53.2) 141 (75.0)
BMD site pattern
 Lumbar spine and hip osteoporosis 7 (14.9) 14 (7.4)
 Lumbar spine-only osteoporosis 7 (14.9) 12 (6.4)
 Hip-only osteoporosis 8 (17.0) 21 (11.2)
 No osteoporotic BMD at lumbar spine or hip 25 (53.2) 141 (75.0)
TBS and exploratory imaging phenotypes
 Low TBSd) 30 (63.8) 56 (29.8)
 Non-osteoporotic BMD at all measured sites+low TBS 12 (25.5) 32 (17.0)
 Non-osteoporotic BMD at all measured sites+low TBS+high-burden AACe) 5 (10.6) 14 (7.4)

Values are presented as number (%). Percentages were calculated using the full cohort denominator unless otherwise specified.

BMD, bone mineral density; TBS, trabecular bone score; OVCF, osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture; AAC, abdominal aortic calcification.

a) Hip osteoporosis was defined as femoral neck or total hip T-score ≤−2.5.

b) Any-site osteoporosis was defined as T-score ≤−2.5 at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, or total hip.

c) Non-osteoporotic BMD at all measured sites was defined as lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip T-scores all >−2.5.

d) Low TBS was defined as TBS ≤1.230.

e) High-burden AAC was defined as AAC-24 ≥9.

Table 3
Matched conditional logistic regression models for OVCF in the primary cohort
Model Variable OR (95% CI) p-value
Model 1: lumbar spine BMD+TBS Lumbar spine BMD, per 1 SD increase 0.57 (0.36–0.91) 0.020
TBS, per 1 SD increase 0.65 (0.43–0.98) 0.038
Model 2: lowest all-site BMD+TBS Lowest all-site BMD T-scorea), per 1 SD increase 0.57 (0.38–0.87) 0.009
TBS, per 1 SD increase 0.63 (0.43–0.93) 0.020
Model 3: lowest all-site BMD+low TBS+high-burden AAC Lowest all-site BMD T-score, per 1 SD increase 0.59 (0.39–0.89) 0.013
Low TBSb) 2.66 (1.25–5.63) 0.011
High-burden AACc) 1.92 (0.88–4.18) 0.102
Model 4: any-site osteoporosis+low TBS+high-burden AAC Any-site osteoporosisd) 2.00 (0.94–4.28) 0.074
Low TBS 3.17 (1.52–6.60) 0.002
High-burden AAC 2.04 (0.95–4.41) 0.069

Values are ORs from matched conditional logistic regression. Continuous BMD and TBS variables were standardized and are reported per 1 SD increase.

OVCF, osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; BMD, bone mineral density; TBS, trabecular bone score; AAC, abdominal aortic calcification; SD, standard deviation.

a) Lowest all-site BMD T-score was defined as the lowest T-score among the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip.

b) Low TBS was defined as TBS ≤1.230.

c) High-burden AAC was defined as AAC-24 ≥9.

d) Any-site osteoporosis was defined as a T-score ≤−2.5 at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, or total hip.

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